In all the talk about the coming HTML5 standards and the, on some people’s parts, presume death of Flash, there’s a lot of anticipation and speculation going on. Despite the fact that a few modern browsers are implementing aspects of HTML5 now, new web standards for HTML5 are still a long way off, relatively speaking.

While it seems inevitable that HTML5 will take a big chunk out of some common Flash tasks like delivering video, there is a balanced opinion coming from many RIA developers about the likelihood of Flash dying off when you stop to consider how far ahead of the standards plug-ins generally are.

Here’s a good article from an RIA developer who argues that predictions in this area, especially those slanted towards the death of plug-ins like Flash, are probably premature. You can also read it on read it on the original author’s blog.